economy
Those in the know know the disconnect between the economy and the volatile stock market; discover the reality about this complex relationship.
COT-based Markets Weekly Overview for December 13 - 19
We make up a weekly medium-term trade list based on CFTC reports and technical analysis. The overview provides a description of the technical condition of the market on the most popular financial instruments, as well as information on the large speculators’ actions according to the last COT reports and the previous period.
By Anna Miroshnichenko4 years ago in Trader
Should the Federal Reserve Be Shifting Towards a More Restrictive Strategy?
Yes! The November headline and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures rose by 6.8% and 4.9%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. These numbers greatly exceed the Fed’s inflation targets even though the Fed focuses on the personal consumption deflator (PCE) instead of the CPI. But a recent survey by Oxford Economics of the top “country experts” covering 45 economies revealed that supply-chain disruptions could peak at the end of 2021. These disruptions have been a source of upward inflation pressures. At the time of this writing, the Baltic Dry Index (a measure of transcontinental freight costs is already down 39.3% from its peak in early October 2021). The second source of price pressures has come from labor supply bottlenecks. December 2021, U.S. Employment Report revealed that the labor supply bottlenecks are easing. Based on the Household Employment Survey, the U.S. Labor Force rose by 564k and 1.1 million jobs net-new-jobs were created in November. The U.S. Quit Rate (according to the latest JOLTS Survey) dropped to 2.8% in October 2021 versus a reading of 3.0% in September. It was the lowest U.S. quit rate since July 2021. And finally, even U.S. energy prices as measured by the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price per barrel is off 19% from their peak levels earlier this year.
By Anthony Chan4 years ago in Trader
Inflation Is Coming...
This month, inflation hit a 30 year high, with consumer prices up 6.2% in the US and 4.7% in Canada. Many financial experts blame Covid and supply-chain disruptions as the primary culprit for the recent increase in the cost of consumer goods. In contrast, others call bullshit and believe this is price gouging to make up for lost revenue since Covid.
By Chris Hudson4 years ago in Trader
Business is changing. Will you adapt or be left behind?
Tell me if this story sounds familiar: you’re running at full speed and you feel like you’ve been going full speed for a very long time — forever. You seem to be doing the right things. You and your team are working incredibly hard and making progress, but you can’t help thinking: is this how it’s supposed to be? It feels like no matter how hard everyone on the team tries, we never get ahead of our problems. And we obviously need some kind of breakthrough, because we’re obviously not going to win if we keep doing what we do and how we do it.
By Edison Ade4 years ago in Trader
COT-based Markets Weekly Overview for November 29 - December 5
We make up a weekly medium-term trade list based on CFTC reports and technical analysis. The overview provides a description of the technical condition of the market on the most popular financial instruments, as well as information on the large speculators’ actions according to the last COT reports and the previous period.
By Anna Miroshnichenko4 years ago in Trader
COT-based Market Weekly Overview for November 22 - 28
We make up a weekly medium-term trade list based on CFTC reports and technical analysis. The overview provides a description of the technical condition of the market on the most popular financial instruments, as well as information on the large speculators’ actions according to the last COT reports and the previous period.
By Anna Miroshnichenko4 years ago in Trader
The Language of 'Economy'
What is the Economy? Economy is basically the flow of goods and services in a country, the more prosperous an economy is the more prosperous the country and the people are. The countries with the strongest economies have the lowest rates of poverty and the best living standards, this is clearly manifest in the statistics and else.
By The Wide Reality4 years ago in Trader
Devastating Filth of Capitalism: The Ever-increasing Gap between Economic Value and Social Value in an Extremely Rich World with Billions to Feed
Onward March of Capitalism for Centuries After the 1790s, the total wealth of the world has gone up at an astounding rate because of the uprising of capitalism which was thought to be the Aladdin's Lamp for the global economy. For many years, the governments of various countries did not want to let the market free to the hand of capitalism. But when they saw that a geometrically increasing rate of individual wealth surprisingly gave rise to collective wealth for the economy, they were compelled to withdraw any type of authority over market forces. The whole world has seen and enjoyed the fruit for almost 180 years. Today global GDP is worth more than $88 trillion. Even the poorest nations are no exception. In spite of having chronic problems like corruption and ill-management, these countries are not lagging behind putting the fate of the market system in the hand of individuals.
By Moshiur Rahman4 years ago in Trader
